It’s easy to pick winners in high school football. Just a tiny bit of homework and almost anyone can hit 70 percent.
But what about trying to pick upsets? We’ll move into the another week of a new feature by taking a look at several games from around the state in which a higher ranked team or favored team is picked to take a loss. Every team we are pointing at in this post has to be at least on the bubble in the various CIF state bowl game divisions.
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Here are this week’s Cal-Hi Sports Upset Alerts:
Menlo School (Atherton) over Terra Nova (Pacifica)
The Tigers will head to Atherton for a Friday afternoon game at 6-0. They are on the bubble for the CIF D1 North bowl game rankings and are No. 17 overall in the Cal-Hi Sports Bay Area Top 25. Both teams like to throw it with Menlo’s Jack Heneghan at 26 TD passes and counting while Terra Nova junior Anthony Gordon has tossed 18. Terra Nova’s two main receivers, Jaylen Jones and Domenic Ortisi, may be too much for the Knights, but we think their experience of playing a big school in Texas and going against the speed of Oakland McClymonds (Menlo won that game 47-40) may help them overcome that. Menlo’s loss in Texas was 84-49 to San Angelo Central, which is admittedly pretty bad. San Angelo Central, however, is currently 7-1 and has wins over big school Texas powers such as Abilene and Permian of Odessa. Yes, that is the same Odessa Permian of Friday Night Lights fame.
St. Joseph (Santa Maria) over Atascadero
We might be a little crazy on this one since St. Joseph recently suffered back-to-back shutout losses. However, the Knights (5-2) just halted a five-game win streak by Paso Robles with a 17-10 overtime win and they have a win over Palma of Salinas. St. Joseph QB Curry Parham also is very hard to stop. In the win over Paso, he passed for 280 yards and one TD and rushed for 104 yards. Atascadero also is 5-2, but its losses are to Clovis North and St. Bonaventure, which is why coach Vic Cooper’s team is No. 3 in the CIFSS Northern Division and is on the bubble for the CIF D2 South rankings. Atascadero has a versatile QB of its own in Robbie Berwick (the basketball standout) and features RB Izaiah Cooks, who has rushed for nearly 1,000 yards.
Sutter over Enterprise (Redding)
Both teams enter this matchup on Friday night with lengthy winning streaks as the Huskies have won six straight and are No. 10 in our D3 North bowl game rankings while the Hornets have yet to lose this season and are No. 3 in our D2 North division. We think this is one road game that Enterprise may not escape and may be due to go down. With nearly identical numbers on the season, the Huskies have scored just four points less than the Hornets while allowing just three more over seven games. Ryan Reynolds’ Huskies also showed last season they can play against the bigger schools as they went on the road and knocked off the Hornets 34-27. Senior Alex Ingram has rushed for 780 yards and has scored six touchdowns so far this season for Sutter.
Big Bear (Big Bear Lake) over Yucca Valley
Yucca Valley is currently undefeated and up to No. 10 in our D3 South rankings while Big Bear has lost two games and is on the outside looking in to get on that bubble . The Bears’ two losses this season have come against teams that are ranked in the top 10 of our D4 South rankings — by 10 at Rio Hondo Prep of Arcadia and by five points at home to Kern Valley of Lake Isabella. Yucca Valley has played just three times on the road so far and in two of those games it was a one-score margin of victory. This should be their toughest road game yet. The Bears won last season at Yucca Valley 24-10 and with the home field advantage we give them the upset nod this week in a key game that could decided the De Anza League championship.
Last week’s top upsets
1. Bakersfield Christian 47, Wasco 20
2. Concord 30, Northgate (Walnut Creek) 28
3. Calaveras (San Andreas) 21, Amador (Sutter Creek) 15
Upset Alerts So Far This Season: 5-7
Note: Pick your own upset alerts in the comments section below. Anybody for St. Francis of Mountain View to beat Mitty? And would that even be an upset? An upset alert contest also may be coming soon.